Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.121388 0.134212 0.147374 0.161864 0.177340 0.193345 0.211120
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.105903 0.125851 0.147340 0.172077 0.199634 0.229258 0.263382
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.094331 0.119428 0.147611 0.181279 0.220079 0.263073 0.313992
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.081327 0.109328 0.142013 0.182387 0.230322 0.284835 0.350922
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068819 0.098139 0.133667 0.178957 0.234218 0.298545 0.378148
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063113 0.094535 0.133795 0.185118 0.249092 0.324907 0.420196
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.057557 0.090417 0.132693 0.189274 0.261200 0.347831 0.458234
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.052212 0.085963 0.130640 0.191788 0.270963 0.367760 0.492692
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046982 0.081102 0.127568 0.192570 0.278230 0.384449 0.523179
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.046545 0.082974 0.133536 0.205294 0.300952 0.420654 0.578184
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042950 0.079843 0.132319 0.208170 0.310752 0.440585 0.613053
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040150 0.077633 0.132175 0.212341 0.322175 0.462602 0.650694
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036182 0.073470 0.129264 0.212938 0.329366 0.480009 0.683752
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035060 0.073810 0.132985 0.223022 0.349686 0.514950 0.739981
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033996 0.074138 0.136655 0.233096 0.370179 0.550445 0.797450
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030859 0.070606 0.134165 0.234019 0.377887 0.569012 0.833027
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026902 0.065200 0.128380 0.229759 0.378100 0.577449 0.855341
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025738 0.064734 0.130353 0.237043 0.394652 0.607953 0.906943
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024200 0.063403 0.130808 0.241967 0.407855 0.634037 0.952932
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022431 0.061434 0.130062 0.244948 0.418231 0.656332 0.994055
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020460 0.058839 0.128084 0.245873 0.425543 0.674431 1.029675
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020981 0.061417 0.135038 0.260987 0.453870 0.721827 1.105130
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019588 0.059821 0.134653 0.264397 0.464938 0.745384 1.148593